The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Santos / Simas v Miranda / Yuri

M. SantosS. Simas
Winner
66
C. MirandaF. Yuri
03
Grand Stand 100:52

Pre-match odds

Santos / Simas

62%

Avg Elo 1478

Miranda / Yuri

38%

Avg Elo 1437

Elo gap 41

Santos / Simas delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Santos / SimasMiranda / Yuri

66%
Points won
34%
78%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
22%
81%
1st-serve points won
39%
60%
2nd-serve points won
60%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
62%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

69%
Points won
31%
67%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
33%
64%
1st-serve points won
18%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
82%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

64%
Points won
36%
89%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
11%
94%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Santos / Simas first, Miranda / Yuri second.

61 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 0–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Santos / Simas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Miranda / Yuri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  10. 6–3

    Miranda / Yuri serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.