The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Molina / Valdes v Saadon / Al Khanji

C. MolinaJ. Valdes
Winner
66
K. SaadonM. Al Khanji
32
Grand Stand 101:01

Pre-match odds

Molina / Valdes

61%

Avg Elo 1490

Saadon / Al Khanji

39%

Avg Elo 1451

Elo gap 39

Molina / Valdes delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Molina / ValdesSaadon / Al Khanji

59%
Points won
41%
78%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
22%
81%
1st-serve points won
53%
60%
2nd-serve points won
57%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
31%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
80%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
20%
88%
1st-serve points won
50%
33%
2nd-serve points won
80%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
25%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
76%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
24%
74%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Molina / Valdes first, Saadon / Al Khanji second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 25–2

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–0

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40

    1 game not captured

    —
  3. 3–1

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–1

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 4–2

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 5–2

    Molina / Valdes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Saadon / Al Khanji serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.