The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Ustero / Calvo v Jackson / Norton

A. UsteroM. Calvo
Winner
66
L. JacksonT. Norton
00
Grand Stand 200:35

Pre-match odds

Ustero / Calvo

99%

Avg Elo 1975

Jackson / Norton

1%

Avg Elo 1385

Elo gap 590

Ustero / Calvo delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ustero / CalvoJackson / Norton

75%
Points won
25%
79%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
21%
84%
1st-serve points won
33%
0%
2nd-serve points won
12%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
88%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

74%
Points won
26%
74%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
26%
78%
1st-serve points won
33%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

76%
Points won
24%
86%
Points won on serve
32%
68%
Points won on return
14%
92%
1st-serve points won
33%
0%
2nd-serve points won
25%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Ustero / Calvo first, Jackson / Norton second.

53 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Jackson / Norton serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.