The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Gonzalez / Ortega v Gibson / Nicholas

B. GonzalezM. Ortega
Winner
66
A. GibsonV. Nicholas
11
Grand Stand 200:52

Pre-match odds

Gonzalez / Ortega

99%

Avg Elo 1939

Gibson / Nicholas

1%

Avg Elo 1449

Elo gap 490

Gonzalez / Ortega delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gonzalez / OrtegaGibson / Nicholas

64%
Points won
36%
69%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
31%
61%
1st-serve points won
41%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
59%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
83%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
6
7
Service games
7
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

66%
Points won
34%
76%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
24%
64%
1st-serve points won
46%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
3

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
62%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
38%
59%
1st-serve points won
38%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Gonzalez / Ortega first, Gibson / Nicholas second.

65 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Gonzalez / Ortega serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Gibson / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.