The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Sanchez / Josemaria v Tordoff / Phillips

A. SanchezP. Josemaria
Winner
66
A. TordoffL. Phillips
01
Grand Stand 200:33

Pre-match odds

Sanchez / Josemaria

99%

Avg Elo 2042

Tordoff / Phillips

1%

Avg Elo 1362

Elo gap 680

Sanchez / Josemaria delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Sanchez / JosemariaTordoff / Phillips

79%
Points won
21%
78%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
22%
79%
1st-serve points won
15%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
85%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
75%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

89%
Points won
11%
92%
Points won on serve
14%
86%
Points won on return
8%
100%
1st-serve points won
14%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
86%
Points won returning 1st serve
0%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
68%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
15%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
85%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Sanchez / Josemaria first, Tordoff / Phillips second.

40 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Sanchez / Josemaria serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.