The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Tapia / Libaak v Richters / Roper

Grand Stand 200:59

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Libaak

99%

Avg Elo 2023

Richters / Roper

1%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 505

Tapia / Libaak delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / LibaakRichters / Roper

58%
Points won
42%
73%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
27%
79%
1st-serve points won
55%
20%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
80%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
74%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
26%
77%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
72%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
28%
81%
1st-serve points won
52%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Libaak first, Richters / Roper second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Richters / Roper serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.