The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Jensen / Bidahorria v Mestach / Wyckaert

C. JensenJ. Bidahorria
Winner
66
A. MestachH. Wyckaert
12
Court 500:57

Pre-match odds

Jensen / Bidahorria

97%

Avg Elo 1796

Mestach / Wyckaert

3%

Avg Elo 1500

Elo gap 297

Jensen / Bidahorria delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Jensen / BidahorriaMestach / Wyckaert

65%
Points won
35%
74%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
26%
75%
1st-serve points won
46%
67%
2nd-serve points won
40%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
57%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

70%
Points won
30%
77%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
23%
79%
1st-serve points won
50%
67%
2nd-serve points won
17%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

61%
Points won
39%
71%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
43%
67%
2nd-serve points won
75%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Jensen / Bidahorria first, Mestach / Wyckaert second.

73 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 30–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Mestach / Wyckaert serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Jensen / Bidahorria serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.