The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Leal / Yanguas v Dehnike / Gonzalez

J. LealM. Yanguas
Winner
66
F. DehnikeM. Gonzalez
43
Court 501:06

Pre-match odds

Leal / Yanguas

84%

Avg Elo 1743

Dehnike / Gonzalez

16%

Avg Elo 1599

Elo gap 145

Leal / Yanguas delivered as 84% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Leal / YanguasDehnike / Gonzalez

54%
Points won
46%
67%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
33%
69%
1st-serve points won
58%
57%
2nd-serve points won
67%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
38%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
9
1
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

55%
Points won
45%
80%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
20%
86%
1st-serve points won
63%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5
1
Aces
0

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
58%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
42%
58%
1st-serve points won
50%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Leal / Yanguas first, Dehnike / Gonzalez second.

86 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Dehnike / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Leal / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.