The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Navarro / Lebron v Popovich / Petit

F. NavarroJ. Lebron
Winner
66
M. PopovichP. Petit
02
Court 500:40

Pre-match odds

Navarro / Lebron

99%

Avg Elo 1871

Popovich / Petit

1%

Avg Elo 1501

Elo gap 370

Navarro / Lebron delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Navarro / LebronPopovich / Petit

69%
Points won
31%
68%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
32%
70%
1st-serve points won
32%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
86%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
1
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

74%
Points won
26%
71%
Points won on serve
24%
76%
Points won on return
29%
71%
1st-serve points won
27%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3
1
Aces
0

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
67%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
33%
70%
1st-serve points won
37%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
100%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Navarro / Lebron first, Popovich / Petit second.

48 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–1

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–1

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–1

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–1

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–2

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–2

    Popovich / Petit serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Navarro / Lebron serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.