The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Goñi / Coello v Miranda / Rodriguez

A. GoñiA. Coello
Winner
66
A. MirandaS. Rodriguez
13
Court 500:44

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 1938

Miranda / Rodriguez

1%

Avg Elo 1490

Elo gap 449

Goñi / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / CoelloMiranda / Rodriguez

62%
Points won
38%
72%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
28%
74%
1st-serve points won
48%
62%
2nd-serve points won
40%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
62%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
84%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
16%
79%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
63%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
37%
71%
1st-serve points won
42%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Goñi / Coello first, Miranda / Rodriguez second.

69 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Goñi / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Miranda / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.