The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Collombon / Bahurel v Arancibia / Lobo

A. CollombonL. Bahurel
Winner
66
C. ArancibiaM. Lobo
20
Court 600:50

Pre-match odds

Collombon / Bahurel

66%

Avg Elo 1578

Arancibia / Lobo

34%

Avg Elo 1520

Elo gap 58

Collombon / Bahurel delivered as 66% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Collombon / BahurelArancibia / Lobo

70%
Points won
30%
81%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
19%
82%
1st-serve points won
39%
75%
2nd-serve points won
40%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
71%
Break points converted
0%
14
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

73%
Points won
27%
94%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
6%
93%
1st-serve points won
47%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
14
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

67%
Points won
33%
70%
Points won on serve
35%
65%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
32%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
68%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Collombon / Bahurel first, Arancibia / Lobo second.

64 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Collombon / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Arancibia / Lobo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.