The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Deus / Deus v Reca / Trumpler

M. DeusN. Deus
Winner
66
A. RecaJ. Trumpler
12
Court 600:48

Pre-match odds

Deus / Deus

72%

Avg Elo 1558

Reca / Trumpler

28%

Avg Elo 1478

Elo gap 81

Deus / Deus delivered as 72% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Deus / DeusReca / Trumpler

62%
Points won
38%
70%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
30%
70%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
83%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

63%
Points won
37%
62%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
38%
62%
1st-serve points won
36%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
77%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
23%
77%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Deus / Deus first, Reca / Trumpler second.

68 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Reca / Trumpler serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.