The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Baldi / Dal Pozzo v Nesya / Putu

C. BaldiG. Dal Pozzo
Winner
66
J. NesyaN. Putu
00
Court 700:27

Pre-match odds

Baldi / Dal Pozzo

85%

Avg Elo 1613

Nesya / Putu

15%

Avg Elo 1462

Elo gap 151

Baldi / Dal Pozzo delivered as 85% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Baldi / Dal PozzoNesya / Putu

84%
Points won
16%
92%
Points won on serve
22%
78%
Points won on return
8%
91%
1st-serve points won
24%
100%
2nd-serve points won
14%
76%
Points won returning 1st serve
9%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
86%
Break points converted
0%
16
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
6
2
Aces
0
Stats by set

Set 1

86%
Points won
14%
92%
Points won on serve
19%
81%
Points won on return
8%
92%
1st-serve points won
23%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
15
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3
1
Aces
0

Set 2

83%
Points won
17%
92%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
8%
90%
1st-serve points won
25%
100%
2nd-serve points won
25%
75%
Points won returning 1st serve
10%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3
1
Aces
0

Point by point

Scores read Baldi / Dal Pozzo first, Nesya / Putu second.

41 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Nesya / Putu serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Baldi / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.