The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Robert / Boronad v Bechard / Zelba

J. RobertY. Boronad
Winner
66
D. BechardM. Zelba
11
Court 700:46

Pre-match odds

Upset
Robert / Boronad

32%

Avg Elo 1456

Bechard / Zelba

68%

Avg Elo 1522

Elo gap 66

Robert / Boronad won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Robert / BoronadBechard / Zelba

64%
Points won
36%
66%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
34%
64%
1st-serve points won
35%
100%
2nd-serve points won
47%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
53%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
25%
9
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
59%
Points won on serve
31%
69%
Points won on return
41%
57%
1st-serve points won
28%
100%
2nd-serve points won
38%
72%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
62%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
72%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
28%
70%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
57%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Robert / Boronad first, Bechard / Zelba second.

56 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 4–1

  1. 1–0

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–40BP
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Break

Set 25–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Bechard / Zelba serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  7. 5–1

    Robert / Boronad serving

    1. 30–40BP
    2. 40–40
    3. 40–ABP
    4. 40–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.