The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Blanque / Guichard v Navarro / Ashenden

B. BlanqueD. Guichard
Winner
66
E. NavarroS. Ashenden
22
Court 700:44

Pre-match odds

Upset
Blanque / Guichard

29%

Avg Elo 1461

Navarro / Ashenden

71%

Avg Elo 1537

Elo gap 76

Blanque / Guichard won with a 29% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Blanque / GuichardNavarro / Ashenden

63%
Points won
37%
82%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
18%
82%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
80%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
84%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

64%
Points won
36%
80%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
48%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Blanque / Guichard first, Navarro / Ashenden second.

64 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Navarro / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Blanque / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.