The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Koek / De Vocht v Dubins / Rodriguez

Court 800:56

Pre-match odds

Koek / De Vocht

21%

Avg Elo 1413

Dubins / Rodriguez

79%

Avg Elo 1526

Elo gap 113

Dubins / Rodriguez delivered as 79% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Koek / De VochtDubins / Rodriguez

35%
Points won
65%
40%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
60%
42%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
60%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
13
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

35%
Points won
65%
40%
Points won on serve
75%
25%
Points won on return
60%
43%
1st-serve points won
86%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
14%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 2

35%
Points won
65%
40%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
60%
40%
1st-serve points won
65%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
60%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
13
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Koek / De Vocht first, Dubins / Rodriguez second.

69 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Koek / De Vocht serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Dubins / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.