The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Groenveld / Betz v Marija / Ruiz

L. GroenveldM. Betz
Winner
66
A. MarijaD. Ruiz
30
Court 800:53

Pre-match odds

Upset
Groenveld / Betz

28%

Avg Elo 1467

Marija / Ruiz

72%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 83

Groenveld / Betz won with a 28% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Groenveld / BetzMarija / Ruiz

65%
Points won
35%
77%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
23%
81%
1st-serve points won
48%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
80%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
24%
79%
1st-serve points won
61%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

78%
Points won
22%
80%
Points won on serve
24%
76%
Points won on return
20%
86%
1st-serve points won
25%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
75%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Groenveld / Betz first, Marija / Ruiz second.

60 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 40–40
    4. 40–A
    5. 40–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Marija / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.