The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Luttikhuis / Hemmes v Morga / Beltramino

Court 800:58

Pre-match odds

Luttikhuis / Hemmes

35%

Avg Elo 1470

Morga / Beltramino

65%

Avg Elo 1522

Elo gap 52

Luttikhuis / Hemmes won as slight underdogs (35%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Luttikhuis / HemmesMorga / Beltramino

59%
Points won
41%
74%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
26%
72%
1st-serve points won
59%
86%
2nd-serve points won
20%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
44%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
73%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
27%
72%
1st-serve points won
71%
80%
2nd-serve points won
50%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
25%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

67%
Points won
33%
75%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
25%
71%
1st-serve points won
45%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Luttikhuis / Hemmes first, Morga / Beltramino second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Luttikhuis / Hemmes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Morga / Beltramino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.