The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Al Janahi / Icardo v Axelsson / Vasquez

F. Al JanahiS. Icardo
13
A. AxelssonS. Vasquez
Winner
66
Court 800:42

Pre-match odds

Al Janahi / Icardo

30%

Avg Elo 1518

Axelsson / Vasquez

70%

Avg Elo 1591

Elo gap 73

Axelsson / Vasquez delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Al Janahi / IcardoAxelsson / Vasquez

38%
Points won
62%
49%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
51%
50%
1st-serve points won
73%
40%
2nd-serve points won
50%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
57%
4
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

36%
Points won
64%
38%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
62%
43%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3
0
Double faults
1

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
63%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
37%
59%
1st-serve points won
77%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Al Janahi / Icardo first, Axelsson / Vasquez second.

54 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–40
    3. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Axelsson / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.