The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Al Janahi / Walid v Frost / Yitbarek

Winner
66
Court 800:34

Pre-match odds

Al Janahi / Walid

32%

Avg Elo 1446

Frost / Yitbarek

68%

Avg Elo 1510

Elo gap 65

Frost / Yitbarek delivered as 68% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Al Janahi / WalidFrost / Yitbarek

21%
Points won
79%
22%
Points won on serve
81%
19%
Points won on return
78%
25%
1st-serve points won
81%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
19%
Points won returning 1st serve
75%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
83%
4
Longest run of points
10
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

8%
Points won
92%
8%
Points won on serve
92%
8%
Points won on return
92%
8%
1st-serve points won
100%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
0%
Points won returning 1st serve
92%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
75%
1
Longest run of points
9
3
Service games
3

Set 2

30%
Points won
70%
36%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
64%
42%
1st-serve points won
70%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
9
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Al Janahi / Walid first, Frost / Yitbarek second.

42 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 10–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 0–6

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Frost / Yitbarek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.