The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 3, 2026

Girdo / Sjöland v El Nimr / Tawfik

A. GirdoJ. Sjöland
Winner
646
L. El NimrM. Tawfik
261
Court 1301:40

Pre-match odds

Girdo / Sjöland

46%

Avg Elo 1472

El Nimr / Tawfik

54%

Avg Elo 1485

Elo gap 13

Girdo / Sjöland won a near coin flip (46%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Girdo / SjölandEl Nimr / Tawfik

58%
Points won
42%
64%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
36%
64%
1st-serve points won
48%
71%
2nd-serve points won
62%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
75%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
9
13
Service games
12
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
68%
Points won on serve
40%
60%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
37%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
54%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
46%
56%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
60%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
5
0
Double faults
1

Set 3

69%
Points won
31%
76%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
24%
74%
1st-serve points won
38%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Girdo / Sjöland first, El Nimr / Tawfik second.

120 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  8. 6–2

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold

Set 36–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.