The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Cesar / Palma v Elohim / Segura

J. CesarS. Palma
Winner
66
D. ElohimM. Segura
14
Court 1300:59

Pre-match odds

Cesar / Palma

36%

Avg Elo 1441

Elohim / Segura

64%

Avg Elo 1492

Elo gap 51

Cesar / Palma won as slight underdogs (36%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cesar / PalmaElohim / Segura

59%
Points won
41%
71%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
29%
70%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
43%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
67%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
33%
64%
1st-serve points won
42%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
76%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
24%
75%
1st-serve points won
67%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Cesar / Palma first, Elohim / Segura second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–40
    4. A–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–15
    6. 0–30
    7. 15–30
    8. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Elohim / Segura serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Cesar / Palma serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.