The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 3, 2026

Flores / De Avila Simonato v Ruiz / Castaneda

J. FloresM. De Avila Simonato
Winner
66
R. RuizS. Castaneda
42
Court 1300:46

Pre-match odds

Flores / De Avila Simonato

58%

Avg Elo 1478

Ruiz / Castaneda

42%

Avg Elo 1448

Elo gap 30

Flores / De Avila Simonato delivered as 58% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Flores / De Avila SimonatoRuiz / Castaneda

59%
Points won
41%
76%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
60%
75%
2nd-serve points won
40%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
60%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
69%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
31%
68%
1st-serve points won
70%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

65%
Points won
35%
89%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
11%
89%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
11%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Flores / De Avila Simonato first, Ruiz / Castaneda second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 25–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Ruiz / Castaneda serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 5–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.