The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Marchetti / Dal Pozzo v Borjeson / Andersson

G. MarchettiG. Dal Pozzo
Winner
66
H. BorjesonL. Andersson
00
Center Court00:34

Pre-match odds

Marchetti / Dal Pozzo

78%

Avg Elo 1661

Borjeson / Andersson

22%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 111

Marchetti / Dal Pozzo delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Marchetti / Dal PozzoBorjeson / Andersson

79%
Points won
21%
89%
Points won on serve
28%
72%
Points won on return
11%
88%
1st-serve points won
19%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
81%
Points won returning 1st serve
12%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

83%
Points won
17%
92%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
8%
92%
1st-serve points won
14%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
86%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
11
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

76%
Points won
24%
86%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
14%
83%
1st-serve points won
22%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
78%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Marchetti / Dal Pozzo first, Borjeson / Andersson second.

50 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Borjeson / Andersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Marchetti / Dal Pozzo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.