The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Margherita / Sussarello v Behram / Björk

C. MargheritaG. Sussarello
Winner
76
A. BehramL. Björk
60
Center Court01:24

Pre-match odds

Margherita / Sussarello

56%

Avg Elo 1509

Behram / Björk

44%

Avg Elo 1488

Elo gap 22

Margherita / Sussarello delivered as 56% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Margherita / SussarelloBehram / Björk

57%
Points won
43%
69%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
31%
70%
1st-serve points won
56%
64%
2nd-serve points won
33%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
36%
57%
Break points converted
20%
8
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
65%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
35%
67%
1st-serve points won
64%
56%
2nd-serve points won
50%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
33%
Break points converted
20%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

72%
Points won
28%
86%
Points won on serve
36%
64%
Points won on return
14%
83%
1st-serve points won
40%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Margherita / Sussarello first, Behram / Björk second.

115 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 1–1

  1. 1–0

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Margherita / Sussarello take it 10–8

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 3–2
    6. 2–2
    7. 3–3
    8. 3–4
    9. 4–4
    10. 5–4
    11. 5–5
    12. 6–6
    13. 7–6
    14. 7–7
    15. 8–7
    16. 8–8
    17. 9–8
    Tiebreak

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Behram / Björk serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Margherita / Sussarello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.