The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Orsi / Parmigiani v Girdo / Sjöland

C. OrsiM. Parmigiani
Winner
66
A. GirdoJ. Sjöland
14
Center Court01:10

Pre-match odds

Orsi / Parmigiani

60%

Avg Elo 1507

Girdo / Sjöland

40%

Avg Elo 1472

Elo gap 35

Orsi / Parmigiani delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Orsi / ParmigianiGirdo / Sjöland

54%
Points won
46%
57%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
45%
50%
2nd-serve points won
86%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
62%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

57%
Points won
43%
56%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
44%
58%
1st-serve points won
36%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
64%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
58%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
42%
59%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Orsi / Parmigiani first, Girdo / Sjöland second.

93 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–A
    11. 40–40
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Girdo / Sjöland serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Orsi / Parmigiani serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.