The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Olsson / Rutgersson v Popovich / Rodriguez

A. OlssonD. Rutgersson
Winner
76
M. PopovichS. Rodriguez
63
Center Court01:35

Pre-match odds

Olsson / Rutgersson

53%

Avg Elo 1523

Popovich / Rodriguez

47%

Avg Elo 1514

Elo gap 9

Olsson / Rutgersson won a near coin flip (53%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Olsson / RutgerssonPopovich / Rodriguez

54%
Points won
46%
65%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
61%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
50%
Break points converted
29%
7
Longest run of points
7
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

51%
Points won
49%
61%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
65%
50%
2nd-serve points won
46%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
54%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
40%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
72%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
28%
70%
1st-serve points won
54%
100%
2nd-serve points won
60%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Olsson / Rutgersson first, Popovich / Rodriguez second.

122 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–6

Breaks 2–2

  1. 1–0

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Olsson / Rutgersson take it 11–9

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–4
    8. 5–5
    9. 6–5
    10. 6–6
    11. 6–7
    12. 7–7
    13. 7–8
    14. 8–8
    15. 8–9
    16. 9–9
    17. 10–9
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Popovich / Rodriguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.