The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Axelsson / Släryd v Gonzalez / Miltos

A. AxelssonW. Släryd
Winner
67
M. GonzalezS. Miltos
25
Center Court01:08

Pre-match odds

Axelsson / Släryd

38%

Avg Elo 1589

Gonzalez / Miltos

62%

Avg Elo 1631

Elo gap 42

Axelsson / Släryd won as slight underdogs (38%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Axelsson / SlärydGonzalez / Miltos

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
30%
72%
1st-serve points won
53%
50%
2nd-serve points won
80%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
36%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
5
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
70%
Points won on serve
46%
54%
Points won on return
30%
68%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
71%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
29%
75%
1st-serve points won
61%
33%
2nd-serve points won
75%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
29%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Axelsson / Släryd first, Gonzalez / Miltos second.

92 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    Hold

Set 27–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Gonzalez / Miltos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Axelsson / Släryd serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.