The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Windahl / Vasquez v Dehnike / Abud

D. WindahlS. Vasquez
625
F. DehnikeM. Abud
Winner
167
Center Court01:16

Pre-match odds

Windahl / Vasquez

44%

Avg Elo 1547

Dehnike / Abud

56%

Avg Elo 1567

Elo gap 20

Dehnike / Abud delivered as 56% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Windahl / VasquezDehnike / Abud

49%
Points won
51%
62%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
65%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
43%
9
Longest run of points
11
14
Service games
13
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
80%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
53%
0%
2nd-serve points won
25%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
50%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
50%
48%
1st-serve points won
80%
60%
2nd-serve points won
0%
20%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
11
4
Service games
4

Set 3

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
39%
59%
1st-serve points won
62%
75%
2nd-serve points won
83%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
17%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Windahl / Vasquez first, Dehnike / Abud second.

113 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break

Set 35–7

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–40
    3. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Dehnike / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 5–7

    Windahl / Vasquez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.