The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Fernandez / Triay v Julia / Hossen

C. FernandezG. Triay
Winner
66
A. JuliaM. Hossen
00
Grand Stand 100:36

Pre-match odds

Fernandez / Triay

99%

Avg Elo 2089

Julia / Hossen

1%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 539

Fernandez / Triay delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Fernandez / TriayJulia / Hossen

76%
Points won
24%
78%
Points won on serve
26%
74%
Points won on return
22%
76%
1st-serve points won
23%
100%
2nd-serve points won
31%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
69%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
6
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

78%
Points won
22%
80%
Points won on serve
24%
76%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
20%
100%
2nd-serve points won
29%
80%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

74%
Points won
26%
76%
Points won on serve
28%
72%
Points won on return
24%
73%
1st-serve points won
25%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
75%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Fernandez / Triay first, Julia / Hossen second.

54 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–0
    4. 0–15
    5. 0–30
    6. 15–30
    7. 30–30
    8. 30–40
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 15–0
    6. 30–0
    7. 30–15
    8. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Fernandez / Triay serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Julia / Hossen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.