The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Ustero / Calvo v Abbud / Cirne

A. UsteroM. Calvo
Winner
66
A. AbbudC. Cirne
20
Grand Stand 100:42

Pre-match odds

Ustero / Calvo

99%

Avg Elo 1975

Abbud / Cirne

1%

Avg Elo 1355

Elo gap 620

Ustero / Calvo delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ustero / CalvoAbbud / Cirne

68%
Points won
32%
75%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
25%
74%
1st-serve points won
37%
80%
2nd-serve points won
45%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
55%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
71%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
72%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
28%
70%
1st-serve points won
47%
80%
2nd-serve points won
57%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

80%
Points won
20%
80%
Points won on serve
20%
80%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
18%
0%
2nd-serve points won
25%
82%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Ustero / Calvo first, Abbud / Cirne second.

57 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Ustero / Calvo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Abbud / Cirne serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.