The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Shannan / Abdulla v Reca / Wunner

Winner
66
Grand Stand 100:48

Pre-match odds

Shannan / Abdulla

53%

Avg Elo 1497

Reca / Wunner

47%

Avg Elo 1487

Elo gap 11

Reca / Wunner won a near coin flip (47%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Shannan / AbdullaReca / Wunner

36%
Points won
64%
34%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
66%
31%
1st-serve points won
65%
44%
2nd-serve points won
33%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
69%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
56%
50%
Break points converted
60%
2
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

36%
Points won
64%
38%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
62%
35%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
60%
2
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 2

36%
Points won
64%
29%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
71%
25%
1st-serve points won
63%
40%
2nd-serve points won
33%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
75%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
100%
Break points converted
60%
2
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Shannan / Abdulla first, Reca / Wunner second.

62 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 1–0

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

Set 21–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 1–0

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Shannan / Abdulla serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.