The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Waly / Saadon v Boehnke / Merten

H. WalyM. Saadon
32
C. BoehnkeN. Merten
Winner
66
Grand Stand 101:04

Pre-match odds

Waly / Saadon

18%

Avg Elo 1429

Boehnke / Merten

82%

Avg Elo 1558

Elo gap 129

Boehnke / Merten delivered as 82% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Waly / SaadonBoehnke / Merten

42%
Points won
58%
55%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
45%
60%
1st-serve points won
73%
17%
2nd-serve points won
43%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
0%
Break points converted
43%
5
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
60%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
40%
70%
1st-serve points won
72%
20%
2nd-serve points won
33%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
50%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
50%
52%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
40%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Waly / Saadon first, Boehnke / Merten second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold

Set 22–5

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Waly / Saadon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–5

    Boehnke / Merten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.