The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Osoro / Fassio v Mansart / Pothier

A. OsoroM. Fassio
Winner
66
C. MansartL. Pothier
22
Grand Stand 201:01

Pre-match odds

Osoro / Fassio

98%

Avg Elo 1798

Mansart / Pothier

2%

Avg Elo 1456

Elo gap 342

Osoro / Fassio delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Osoro / FassioMansart / Pothier

61%
Points won
39%
64%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
36%
71%
1st-serve points won
46%
38%
2nd-serve points won
0%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
71%
Break points converted
20%
7
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
58%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
42%
68%
1st-serve points won
37%
17%
2nd-serve points won
0%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
83%
100%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

60%
Points won
40%
70%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
30%
75%
1st-serve points won
52%
57%
2nd-serve points won
0%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Osoro / Fassio first, Mansart / Pothier second.

93 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–30
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 0–30
    7. 0–40
    8. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Mansart / Pothier serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Osoro / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.