The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Leal / Lebron v Al Janahi / Walid

J. LealJ. Lebron
Winner
66
A. Al JanahiR. Walid
01
Grand Stand 200:39

Pre-match odds

Leal / Lebron

98%

Avg Elo 1799

Al Janahi / Walid

2%

Avg Elo 1446

Elo gap 354

Leal / Lebron delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Leal / LebronAl Janahi / Walid

71%
Points won
29%
86%
Points won on serve
37%
63%
Points won on return
14%
89%
1st-serve points won
40%
0%
2nd-serve points won
22%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
11%
78%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
67%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

80%
Points won
20%
86%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
14%
86%
1st-serve points won
31%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
69%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

65%
Points won
35%
86%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
14%
92%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
60%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Leal / Lebron first, Al Janahi / Walid second.

56 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Leal / Lebron serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Al Janahi / Walid serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.