The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Navarro / Sanz v Al Janahi / Icardo

Grand Stand 200:37

Pre-match odds

Navarro / Sanz

98%

Avg Elo 1854

Al Janahi / Icardo

2%

Avg Elo 1518

Elo gap 336

Navarro / Sanz delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Navarro / SanzAl Janahi / Icardo

71%
Points won
29%
85%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
15%
83%
1st-serve points won
38%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
71%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

80%
Points won
20%
86%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
14%
85%
1st-serve points won
23%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
77%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
1
3
Service games
3

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
84%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
16%
81%
1st-serve points won
45%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Navarro / Sanz first, Al Janahi / Icardo second.

54 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Navarro / Sanz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Al Janahi / Icardo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.