The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Nieto / Yanguas v Alabdulla / Al Janahi

J. NietoM. Yanguas
Winner
66
A. AlabdullaM. Al Janahi
11
Grand Stand 200:42

Pre-match odds

Nieto / Yanguas

97%

Avg Elo 1808

Alabdulla / Al Janahi

3%

Avg Elo 1493

Elo gap 315

Nieto / Yanguas delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Nieto / YanguasAlabdulla / Al Janahi

71%
Points won
29%
88%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
12%
93%
1st-serve points won
44%
33%
2nd-serve points won
29%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
71%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
71%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
86%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
14%
92%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
8%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
75%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
4

Set 2

73%
Points won
27%
89%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
11%
94%
1st-serve points won
43%
50%
2nd-serve points won
40%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
6%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Nieto / Yanguas first, Alabdulla / Al Janahi second.

56 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Alabdulla / Al Janahi serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.