The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Ribeiro / Araujo v Groenveld / Betz

P. RibeiroS. Araujo
Winner
66
L. GroenveldM. Betz
44
Court 501:24

Pre-match odds

Ribeiro / Araujo

81%

Avg Elo 1596

Groenveld / Betz

19%

Avg Elo 1467

Elo gap 129

Ribeiro / Araujo delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ribeiro / AraujoGroenveld / Betz

56%
Points won
44%
78%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
22%
77%
1st-serve points won
61%
86%
2nd-serve points won
71%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
23%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

56%
Points won
44%
75%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
25%
71%
1st-serve points won
56%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

55%
Points won
45%
81%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
19%
83%
1st-serve points won
66%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Ribeiro / Araujo first, Groenveld / Betz second.

94 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Ribeiro / Araujo serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.