The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Silva / Santos v Luttikhuis / Koek

A. SilvaM. Santos
56
B. LuttikhuisM. Koek
Winner
77
Court 501:48

Pre-match odds

Silva / Santos

66%

Avg Elo 1478

Luttikhuis / Koek

34%

Avg Elo 1419

Elo gap 59

Luttikhuis / Koek won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Silva / SantosLuttikhuis / Koek

48%
Points won
52%
63%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
37%
59%
1st-serve points won
68%
83%
2nd-serve points won
60%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
67%
Break points converted
75%
6
Longest run of points
5
12
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
61%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
39%
57%
1st-serve points won
70%
83%
2nd-serve points won
60%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
64%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
36%
61%
1st-serve points won
67%
83%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
100%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Silva / Santos first, Luttikhuis / Koek second.

116 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–40
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 5–7

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 26–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Luttikhuis / Koek serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Silva / Santos serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Luttikhuis / Koek take it 7–5

    1. 1–0
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 4–4
    9. 4–5
    10. 5–5
    11. 5–6
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.