The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Tapia / Libaak v Joris / Fonteny

A. TapiaT. Libaak
Winner
566
M. JorisT. Fonteny
734
Court 501:45

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Libaak

99%

Avg Elo 2023

Joris / Fonteny

1%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 473

Tapia / Libaak delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / LibaakJoris / Fonteny

51%
Points won
49%
68%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
71%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
75%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
6
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
59%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
41%
59%
1st-serve points won
69%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
84%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
16%
86%
1st-serve points won
74%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 3

50%
Points won
50%
65%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
68%
67%
2nd-serve points won
75%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Libaak first, Joris / Fonteny second.

127 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold

Set 36–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Joris / Fonteny serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Tapia / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 6–4

    Tapia / Libaak serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.