The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Riobueno / Ruiz v Alejandra / Lucia

C. RiobuenoD. Ruiz
Winner
66
M. AlejandraM. Lucia
44
Court 601:06

Pre-match odds

Riobueno / Ruiz

50%

Avg Elo 1550

Alejandra / Lucia

50%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 0

Riobueno / Ruiz won a near coin flip (50%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Riobueno / RuizAlejandra / Lucia

54%
Points won
46%
65%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
35%
65%
1st-serve points won
51%
62%
2nd-serve points won
61%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
39%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
57%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
8
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

52%
Points won
48%
52%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
39%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
78%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
22%
81%
1st-serve points won
63%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Riobueno / Ruiz first, Alejandra / Lucia second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 3–2

  1. 1–0

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Alejandra / Lucia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Riobueno / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.