The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Montiel / Abbate v Flores / De Avila Simonato

A. MontielF. Abbate
Winner
66
J. FloresM. De Avila Simonato
22
Court 600:45

Pre-match odds

Montiel / Abbate

87%

Avg Elo 1645

Flores / De Avila Simonato

13%

Avg Elo 1478

Elo gap 167

Montiel / Abbate delivered as 87% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montiel / AbbateFlores / De Avila Simonato

65%
Points won
35%
77%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
23%
78%
1st-serve points won
51%
75%
2nd-serve points won
25%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
80%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

67%
Points won
33%
77%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
23%
75%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
77%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
23%
80%
1st-serve points won
53%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Montiel / Abbate first, Flores / De Avila Simonato second.

64 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Flores / De Avila Simonato serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.