The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Schmitz / Ermann v De La Mare / Nicholas

A. SchmitzC. Ermann
40
C. De La MareV. Nicholas
Winner
66
Court 701:08

Pre-match odds

Schmitz / Ermann

42%

Avg Elo 1418

De La Mare / Nicholas

58%

Avg Elo 1446

Elo gap 28

De La Mare / Nicholas delivered as 58% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Schmitz / ErmannDe La Mare / Nicholas

37%
Points won
63%
38%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
62%
42%
1st-serve points won
69%
25%
2nd-serve points won
20%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
29%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
14
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
46%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
54%
50%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
29%
Break points converted
38%
3
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

17%
Points won
83%
14%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
86%
18%
1st-serve points won
85%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
15%
Points won returning 1st serve
82%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
75%
1
Longest run of points
11
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Schmitz / Ermann first, De La Mare / Nicholas second.

90 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 0–1

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–30BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    13. A–40BP
    14. 40–40
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 20–5

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    Break
  2. 0–2

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 0–5

    Schmitz / Ermann serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 0–5

    De La Mare / Nicholas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.