The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Blaschke / Kurz v Gibson / Rose

M. BlaschkeV. Kurz
22
A. GibsonC. Rose
Winner
66
Court 701:06

Pre-match odds

Blaschke / Kurz

57%

Avg Elo 1531

Gibson / Rose

43%

Avg Elo 1507

Elo gap 25

Gibson / Rose won as slight underdogs (43%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Blaschke / KurzGibson / Rose

39%
Points won
61%
42%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
58%
42%
1st-serve points won
66%
41%
2nd-serve points won
50%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
59%
67%
Break points converted
46%
6
Longest run of points
9
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

39%
Points won
61%
41%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
59%
35%
1st-serve points won
65%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
65%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
60%
6
Longest run of points
9
4
Service games
4

Set 2

39%
Points won
61%
43%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
57%
48%
1st-serve points won
67%
29%
2nd-serve points won
60%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
100%
Break points converted
38%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Blaschke / Kurz first, Gibson / Rose second.

80 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 22–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Gibson / Rose serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Blaschke / Kurz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.