The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

Hering / Plümer v Tordoff / Phillips

K. HeringL. Plümer
644
A. TordoffL. Phillips
Winner
266
Court 701:49

Pre-match odds

Hering / Plümer

66%

Avg Elo 1419

Tordoff / Phillips

34%

Avg Elo 1362

Elo gap 57

Tordoff / Phillips won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Hering / PlümerTordoff / Phillips

49%
Points won
51%
60%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
40%
60%
1st-serve points won
64%
58%
2nd-serve points won
42%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
58%
Points won returning 2nd serve
42%
27%
Break points converted
57%
7
Longest run of points
10
14
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
70%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
30%
67%
1st-serve points won
45%
80%
2nd-serve points won
40%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
43%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
50%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
50%
50%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

44%
Points won
56%
63%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
37%
67%
1st-serve points won
75%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
33%
7
Longest run of points
10
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Hering / Plümer first, Tordoff / Phillips second.

125 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 34–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Hering / Plümer serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Tordoff / Phillips serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.