The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Deus / Deus v Torres / Vacarezza

Winner
66
Court 701:01

Pre-match odds

Deus / Deus

52%

Avg Elo 1558

Torres / Vacarezza

48%

Avg Elo 1550

Elo gap 8

Deus / Deus won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Deus / DeusTorres / Vacarezza

61%
Points won
39%
80%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
20%
81%
1st-serve points won
49%
75%
2nd-serve points won
71%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
19%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
57%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
76%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
24%
82%
1st-serve points won
48%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
84%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
16%
80%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Deus / Deus first, Torres / Vacarezza second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Torres / Vacarezza serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.