The Padel Brief

Group stageWomenNovember 4, 2026

El Nimr / Tawfik v Sabatini / Rompies

L. El NimrM. Tawfik
266
F. SabatiniJ. Rompies
Winner
647
Court 802:10

Pre-match odds

El Nimr / Tawfik

66%

Avg Elo 1485

Sabatini / Rompies

34%

Avg Elo 1427

Elo gap 58

Sabatini / Rompies won as slight underdogs (34%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

El Nimr / TawfikSabatini / Rompies

48%
Points won
52%
57%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
43%
57%
1st-serve points won
60%
64%
2nd-serve points won
78%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
22%
Points won returning 2nd serve
36%
30%
Break points converted
44%
5
Longest run of points
10
15
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
38%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
62%
40%
1st-serve points won
56%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
60%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
60%
3
Longest run of points
10
4
Service games
4

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
74%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
26%
75%
1st-serve points won
59%
67%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
58%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
42%
56%
1st-serve points won
63%
71%
2nd-serve points won
60%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
33%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
3
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read El Nimr / Tawfik first, Sabatini / Rompies second.

164 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 36–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  10. 5–5

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Sabatini / Rompies serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    El Nimr / Tawfik serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Sabatini / Rompies take it 7–4

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 1–3
    4. 1–4
    5. 2–4
    6. 3–4
    7. 4–4
    8. 4–5
    9. 4–6
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.