The Padel Brief

Group stageMenNovember 4, 2026

Bechard / Ashenden v Meijer / Nolten

D. BechardS. Ashenden
21
B. MeijerM. Nolten
Winner
66
Court 1300:53

Pre-match odds

Bechard / Ashenden

56%

Avg Elo 1508

Meijer / Nolten

44%

Avg Elo 1486

Elo gap 22

Meijer / Nolten won as slight underdogs (44%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Bechard / AshendenMeijer / Nolten

39%
Points won
61%
46%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
54%
47%
1st-serve points won
72%
40%
2nd-serve points won
75%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
50%
3
Longest run of points
4
8
Service games
7
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

41%
Points won
59%
49%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
51%
50%
1st-serve points won
74%
40%
2nd-serve points won
50%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
33%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

37%
Points won
63%
43%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
57%
43%
1st-serve points won
69%
40%
2nd-serve points won
100%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
75%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Bechard / Ashenden first, Meijer / Nolten second.

80 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 2–6

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 21–5

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Meijer / Nolten serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 1–5

    Bechard / Ashenden serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40BP
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.