The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Chingotto / Alfonso v Reca / Wunner

Grand Stand 200:49

Pre-match odds

Chingotto / Alfonso

99%

Avg Elo 1902

Reca / Wunner

1%

Avg Elo 1487

Elo gap 416

Chingotto / Alfonso delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Chingotto / AlfonsoReca / Wunner

68%
Points won
32%
75%
Points won on serve
38%
62%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
43%
71%
2nd-serve points won
0%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
60%
Break points converted
50%
9
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

70%
Points won
30%
89%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
11%
93%
1st-serve points won
53%
75%
2nd-serve points won
0%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
7%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
61%
Points won on serve
31%
69%
Points won on return
39%
60%
1st-serve points won
35%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
80%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Chingotto / Alfonso first, Reca / Wunner second.

60 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 4–1

  1. 1–0

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Chingotto / Alfonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Reca / Wunner serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.