The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenNovember 5, 2026

Montiel / Abbate v Olsson / Rutgersson

A. MontielF. Abbate
Winner
666
A. OlssonD. Rutgersson
732
Court 501:55

Pre-match odds

Montiel / Abbate

80%

Avg Elo 1645

Olsson / Rutgersson

20%

Avg Elo 1523

Elo gap 122

Montiel / Abbate delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montiel / AbbateOlsson / Rutgersson

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
30%
70%
1st-serve points won
58%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
45%
Break points converted
29%
6
Longest run of points
7
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

49%
Points won
51%
58%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
42%
59%
1st-serve points won
64%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
71%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
29%
70%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 3

67%
Points won
33%
100%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
0%
100%
1st-serve points won
48%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
0%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Montiel / Abbate first, Olsson / Rutgersson second.

136 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. The feed had gaps during this match, so some games are missing.

Set 16–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Olsson / Rutgersson take it 10–8

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 3–4
    8. 3–5
    9. 4–5
    10. 5–5
    11. 6–5
    12. 6–6
    13. 6–7
    14. 7–7
    15. 7–8
    16. 8–8
    17. 8–9
    Tiebreak

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40

    1 game not captured

    —
  8. 6–3

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15
    Hold

Set 36–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Olsson / Rutgersson serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Montiel / Abbate serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.